Actual wins3of 13
Expected wins4.5all-play based
Luck-1.5wins vs expected
Schedules better79%would win more
Most likely record4-9.31 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 199.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 2 | 104.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 3 | 136.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 4 | 56.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 5 | 90.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 6 | 118.5 | 6 pack Big Macs | W |
| 7 | 82.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 8 | 95.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 9 | 120.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Lrobbed |
| 10 | 91.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 11 | 95.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 12 | 55.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 13 | 87.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-7 | +3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-7 | +3 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-8 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-8 | +2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 5-8 | +2 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 4-8-1 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 3-10 | 0 |
 VALL6 pack Big Macs | 3-10 | 0 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 3-10 | 0 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Josh's schedule you go 6-7.