Actual wins7of 13
Expected wins6.0all-play based
Luck+1.0wins vs expected
Schedules better13%would win more
Most likely record6-7.30 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 144.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 2 | 104.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 3 | 116.5 | Lik-A Rock | L |
| 4 | 114.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 5 | 192.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 6 | 75.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 7 | 141.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 8 | 114.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 9 | 99.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 10 | 93.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 11 | 84.5 | 6 pack Big Macs | L |
| 12 | 65.5 | Lik-A Rock | Wlucky |
| 13 | 140.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 9-4 | +2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-6 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-7 | -1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 6-7 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-7 | -1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 6-7 | -1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-8 | -2 |
 VALL6 pack Big Macs | 5-8 | -2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 4-9 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Hunter's schedule you go 9-4. With Jeff's you go 4-9.