Actual wins6of 13
Expected wins6.9all-play based
Luck-0.9wins vs expected
Schedules better60%would win more
Most likely record7-6.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 124.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 2 | 119.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 3 | 133.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 4 | 112.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 5 | 84.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 6 | 101.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 7 | 98.5 | 6 pack Big Macs | L |
| 8 | 146.0 | Boner Bandits | Lrobbed |
| 9 | 113.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 10 | 101.0 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 11 | 115.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 12 | 135.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 13 | 125.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Lrobbed |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 10-3 | +4 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 9-4 | +3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 8-5 | +2 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 8-5 | +2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-7 | 0 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-7 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 6-7 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 5-8 | -1 |
 VALL6 pack Big Macs | 4-9 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Josh's schedule you go 10-3. With Nick's you go 4-9.