Actual wins9of 13
Expected wins7.4all-play based
Luck+1.6wins vs expected
Schedules better4%would win more
Most likely record8-5.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 91.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | Wlucky |
| 2 | 121.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 3 | 95.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 4 | 173.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 5 | 161.5 | 6 pack Big Macs | W |
| 6 | 119.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Lrobbed |
| 7 | 158.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 8 | 178.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 9 | 118.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 10 | 123.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 11 | 62.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 12 | 132.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 13 | 96.5 | 6 pack Big Macs | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOLTTeam Sports | 9-4 | 0 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 9-4 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 8-4-1 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 8-5 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 8-5 | -1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 7-6 | -2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-7 | -3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-7 | -3 |
 VALL6 pack Big Macs | 5-8 | -4 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Nick's you go 5-8.