Actual wins6of 13
Expected wins8.2all-play based
Luck-2.2wins vs expected
Schedules better91%would win more
Most likely record8-5.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 114.5 | Lik-A Rock | L |
| 2 | 104.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 3 | 145.0 | 6 pack Big Macs | W |
| 4 | 95.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 5 | 121.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 6 | 140.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 7 | 99.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 8 | 199.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 9 | 132.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 10 | 137.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 11 | 91.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 12 | 96.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 13 | 146.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOLTTeam Sports | 9-4 | +3 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 9-4 | +3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 9-3-1 | +3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 8-5 | +2 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 8-4-1 | +2 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 8-5 | +2 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 8-5 | +2 |
 VALL6 pack Big Macs | 7-6 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-6 | +1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Taylor's schedule you go 9-4.