Actual wins6of 13
Expected wins5.2all-play based
Luck+0.8wins vs expected
Schedules better18%would win more
Most likely record5-8.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 101.5 | Boner Bandits | Wlucky |
| 2 | 112.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 3 | 117.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 4 | 146.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 5 | 116.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 6 | 102.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 7 | 96.0 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 8 | 123.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 9 | 83.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 10 | 81.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 11 | 138.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | Lrobbed |
| 12 | 112.5 | The Hakuna Matata | Wlucky |
| 13 | 134.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-6 | +1 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-6 | +1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 6-7 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-8 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 5-8 | -1 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 5-8 | -1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 5-8 | -1 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 4-9 | -2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 3-10 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 7-6. With Jesse's you go 3-10.