Actual wins9of 13
Expected wins8.3all-play based
Luck+0.7wins vs expected
Schedules better22%would win more
Most likely record8-5.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 150.0 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 2 | 138.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 3 | 123.0 | Boner Bandits | Lrobbed |
| 4 | 133.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 5 | 105.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 6 | 167.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 7 | 121.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Lrobbed |
| 8 | 155.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 9 | 100.5 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 10 | 86.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | Wlucky |
| 11 | 137.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 12 | 146.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 13 | 160.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 10-3 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 10-3 | +1 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 9-4 | 0 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 9-4 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 8-5 | -1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 8-5 | -1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-6 | -2 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 7-6 | -2 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 7-6 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 10-3. With Nick's you go 7-6.