Actual wins8of 13
Expected wins8.3all-play based
Luck-0.3wins vs expected
Schedules better46%would win more
Most likely record8-5.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 102.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 2 | 136.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 3 | 130.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 4 | 137.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 5 | 126.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 6 | 117.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 7 | 107.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 8 | 158.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 9 | 136.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Lrobbed |
| 10 | 104.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 11 | 140.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 12 | 153.5 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 13 | 122.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 11-2 | +3 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 11-2 | +3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 10-3 | +2 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 9-4 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-6 | -1 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-6 | -1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 7-6 | -1 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 7-6 | -1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 6-7 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jeff's schedule you go 11-2. With Taylor's you go 6-7.