Actual wins2of 13
Expected wins1.6all-play based
Luck+0.4wins vs expected
Schedules better17%would win more
Most likely record1-12.36 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 73.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 2 | 77.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 3 | 85.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 4 | 97.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 5 | 71.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 6 | 128.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 7 | 90.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 8 | 100.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 9 | 105.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Wlucky |
| 10 | 69.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 11 | 109.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 12 | 55.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 13 | 85.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 3-10 | +1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 2-11 | 0 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 2-11 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 2-11 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 1-12 | -1 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 1-12 | -1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 1-12 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 1-12 | -1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 1-12 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Greg's schedule you go 3-10. With Lance's you go 1-12.