Actual wins3of 13
Expected wins4.4all-play based
Luck-1.4wins vs expected
Schedules better75%would win more
Most likely record4-9.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 163.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Lrobbed |
| 2 | 116.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Wlucky |
| 3 | 101.5 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 4 | 122.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 5 | 100.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 6 | 108.0 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 7 | 119.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 8 | 100.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 9 | 125.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 10 | 86.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 11 | 100.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 12 | 149.5 | Team Sports | Lrobbed |
| 13 | 49.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-7 | +3 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-7 | +3 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 6-7 | +3 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 5-8 | +2 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 4-9 | +1 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 4-9 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 3-10 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 3-10 | 0 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 3-10 | 0 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 6-7.