Actual wins7of 13
Expected wins6.1all-play based
Luck+0.9wins vs expected
Schedules better17%would win more
Most likely record6-7.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 112.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 2 | 103.0 | Lik-A Rock | L |
| 3 | 112.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 4 | 167.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 5 | 86.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 6 | 156.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 7 | 109.0 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 8 | 132.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 9 | 140.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 10 | 119.5 | Team Sports | Lrobbed |
| 11 | 103.0 | Lik-A Rock | Wlucky |
| 12 | 109.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Wlucky |
| 13 | 88.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 8-5 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-6 | 0 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-6 | 0 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 7-6 | 0 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 6-7 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-7 | -1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 5-8 | -2 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 5-8 | -2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 4-9 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jeff's schedule you go 8-5. With Taylor's you go 4-9.