Actual wins7of 13
Expected wins7.8all-play based
Luck-0.8wins vs expected
Schedules better59%would win more
Most likely record8-5.28 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 98.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 2 | 144.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 3 | 138.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 4 | 106.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 5 | 150.0 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 6 | 126.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 7 | 134.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 8 | 109.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 9 | 113.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 10 | 198.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 11 | 124.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 12 | 135.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 13 | 106.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 11-2 | +4 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 9-4 | +2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 9-4 | +2 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-6 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-6 | 0 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 7-6 | 0 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 7-6 | 0 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-6 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-6-1 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 11-2. With Jesse's you go 6-7.