Actual wins7of 13
Expected wins6.4all-play based
Luck+0.6wins vs expected
Schedules better26%would win more
Most likely record6-7.23 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 88.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 2 | 113.0 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 3 | 124.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | Lrobbed |
| 4 | 107.5 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 5 | 101.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 6 | 117.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 7 | 96.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 8 | 108.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 9 | 89.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Wlucky |
| 10 | 102.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 11 | 109.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 12 | 107.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 13 | 119.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 8-5 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-5 | +1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-6 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-6 | 0 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 7-6 | 0 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 6-7 | -1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-8 | -2 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 5-8 | -2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 5-8 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Eric's schedule you go 8-5. With Hunter's you go 5-8.