Actual wins3of 13
Expected wins4.8all-play based
Luck-1.3wins vs expected
Schedules better83%would win more
Most likely record5-8.28 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 91.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 2 | 86.0 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 3 | 108.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 4 | 60.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 5 | 102.0 | Boner Bandits | T |
| 6 | 80.0 | Lik-A Rock | L |
| 7 | 94.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Wlucky |
| 8 | 138.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 9 | 93.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 10 | 96.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 11 | 122.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 12 | 94.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 13 | 107.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-6 | +4 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-6 | +4 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-6 | +4 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-8 | +2 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 4-9 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 4-9 | +1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 4-8-1 | +1 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 3-10 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 2-11 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 7-6. With Hunter's you go 2-11.