Actual wins4of 13
Expected wins4.1all-play based
Luck-0.1wins vs expected
Schedules better38%would win more
Most likely record4-9.30 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 81.0 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 2 | 129.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 3 | 55.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 4 | 109.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Lrobbed |
| 5 | 104.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | Lrobbed |
| 6 | 101.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 7 | 70.5 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 8 | 114.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 9 | 73.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 10 | 76.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 11 | 107.5 | Lik-A Rock | Wlucky |
| 12 | 109.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 13 | 87.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 6-7 | +2 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 6-7 | +2 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-8 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 4-9 | 0 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 4-9 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 4-9 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 3-10 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 3-10 | -1 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 2-11 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Greg's schedule you go 6-7. With Nick's you go 2-11.