Actual wins8of 13
Expected wins8.3all-play based
Luck-0.3wins vs expected
Schedules better46%would win more
Most likely record8-5.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 134.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 2 | 103.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 3 | 111.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 4 | 134.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 5 | 134.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 6 | 99.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 7 | 116.0 | Gronkey Punch Time | W |
| 8 | 124.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 9 | 133.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 10 | 116.0 | Lik-A Rock | Lrobbed |
| 11 | 98.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 12 | 133.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 13 | 96.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Wlucky |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 11-2 | +3 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 10-3 | +2 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 9-4 | +1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 8-5 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-5 | 0 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 8-5 | 0 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 7-6 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-6 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-6 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Eric's schedule you go 11-2. With Jeff's you go 7-6.