Actual wins6of 13
Expected wins7.1all-play based
Luck-1.1wins vs expected
Schedules better68%would win more
Most likely record7-6.32 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 91.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 2 | 113.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 3 | 137.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | W |
| 4 | 86.0 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 5 | 150.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 6 | 152.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 7 | 129.5 | Team Sports | Lrobbed |
| 8 | 73.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 9 | 143.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 10 | 98.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 11 | 82.0 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 12 | 116.0 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 13 | 143.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 8-5 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-5 | +2 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 8-5 | +2 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-6 | +1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 7-6 | +1 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 7-6 | +1 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 7-6 | +1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-6 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 4-8-1 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 8-5. With Jesse's you go 4-9.