Actual wins5of 13
Expected wins5.9all-play based
Luck-0.9wins vs expected
Schedules better59%would win more
Most likely record6-7.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 161.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 2 | 100.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 3 | 137.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 4 | 100.5 | Water Hole Assasin | W |
| 5 | 75.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 6 | 90.0 | Lik-A Rock | L |
| 7 | 129.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 8 | 123.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 9 | 94.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 10 | 117.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 11 | 93.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 12 | 104.0 | Water Hole Assasin | L |
| 13 | 110.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 7-5-1 | +2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-6 | +2 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 7-6 | +2 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-6-1 | +1 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-7 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-8 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-8 | 0 |
 PROCWater Hole Assasin | 5-8 | 0 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 4-9 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Josh's schedule you go 7-6. With Greg's you go 4-9.