Actual wins4of 13
Expected wins4.9all-play based
Luck-0.9wins vs expected
Schedules better59%would win more
Most likely record5-8.24 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 103.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 2 | 94.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 3 | 112.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 4 | 99.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 5 | 115.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 6 | 100.0 | The Hakuna Matata | Wlucky |
| 7 | 101.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 8 | 93.0 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 9 | 99.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 10 | 119.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Lrobbed |
| 11 | 92.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 12 | 83.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 13 | 141.5 | Water Hole Assasin | Lrobbed |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 8-5 | +4 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-6 | +3 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 7-6 | +3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 5-8 | +1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 5-8 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 4-9 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 4-9 | 0 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 3-10 | -1 |
 PROCWater Hole Assasin | 1-12 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Josh's schedule you go 8-5. With Jeff's you go 1-12.