Actual wins7of 13
Expected wins6.6all-play based
Luck+0.4wins vs expected
Schedules better25%would win more
Most likely record7-6.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 163.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 2 | 101.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 3 | 102.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Wlucky |
| 4 | 108.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 5 | 137.0 | Water Hole Assasin | Lrobbed |
| 6 | 112.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 7 | 136.0 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 8 | 76.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 9 | 72.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 10 | 85.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 11 | 135.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 12 | 97.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 13 | 133.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-5 | +1 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 8-5 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-6 | 0 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 7-6 | 0 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 7-6 | 0 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-7 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-7 | -1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 6-7 | -1 |
 PROCWater Hole Assasin | 4-9 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Taylor's schedule you go 8-5. With Jeff's you go 4-9.