Actual wins2of 13
Expected wins3.3all-play based
Luck-1.3wins vs expected
Schedules better78%would win more
Most likely record3-10.35 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 82.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 2 | 126.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 3 | 95.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 4 | 121.5 | Team Sports | Lrobbed |
| 5 | 88.0 | Lik-A Rock | L |
| 6 | 104.5 | Water Hole Assasin | L |
| 7 | 90.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 8 | 74.5 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 9 | 53.0 | Lik-A Rock | L |
| 10 | 86.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 11 | 54.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 12 | 139.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 13 | 96.0 | Team Sports | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-8 | +3 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 4-9 | +2 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 4-9 | +2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 4-9 | +2 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 3-10 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 3-10 | +1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 3-10 | +1 |
 PROCWater Hole Assasin | 2-11 | 0 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 2-11 | 0 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jesse's schedule you go 5-8.