Actual wins8of 13
Expected wins6.8all-play based
Luck+1.2wins vs expected
Schedules better11%would win more
Most likely record7-6.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 126.0 | Water Hole Assasin | W |
| 2 | 80.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 3 | 136.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 4 | 95.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 5 | 108.5 | The Hakuna Matata | Wlucky |
| 6 | 71.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 7 | 123.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 8 | 137.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 9 | 124.0 | Water Hole Assasin | Lrobbed |
| 10 | 117.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 11 | 136.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 12 | 141.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | W |
| 13 | 102.5 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 9-4 | +1 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 8-5 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 8-5 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-6 | -1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 7-6 | -1 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 7-5-1 | -1 |
 PROCWater Hole Assasin | 6-7 | -2 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-8 | -3 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 4-9 | -4 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 9-4. With Jesse's you go 4-9.