Scores
Actual wins6of 13
Expected wins7.4all-play based
Luck-1.4wins vs expected
Schedules better75%would win more
Most likely record7-6.27 of schedules
All possible schedules

Record distribution

0
1
2
3
4
6%5
17%6
27%7
26%8
15%9
10
11
12
13

NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.

Week by week

Where the luck came from

WkScoreOpponentOppvs fieldResult
1109.0Alan Autry Bubbas166.03–6L
293.5Boner Bandits88.02–7Wlucky
3110.0Gronkey Punch Time139.52–7L
489.0Team Sports96.01–8L
5133.5The Hakuna Matata84.59–0W
6155.5Lik-A Rock125.09–0W
7109.0Beast Mode Cowboy142.54–5L
8132.5Pimp Trick Gangsta Click136.58–1Lrobbed
9131.0Alan Autry Bubbas147.06–3Lrobbed
10109.5Boner Bandits124.04–5L
1181.5Gronkey Punch Time78.54–5W
12140.5SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT98.57–2W
13158.0The Hakuna Matata114.58–1W

MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.

Concrete alternatives

With someone else's schedule

MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Taylor's schedule you go 9-4.