Actual wins6of 13
Expected wins7.5all-play based
Luck-1.5wins vs expected
Schedules better76%would win more
Most likely record8-5.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 166.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 2 | 107.5 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 3 | 142.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Lrobbed |
| 4 | 104.5 | Boner Bandits | Lrobbed |
| 5 | 94.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 6 | 82.5 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 7 | 106.0 | Lik-A Rock | L |
| 8 | 103.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Wlucky |
| 9 | 147.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 10 | 116.0 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 11 | 95.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Lrobbed |
| 12 | 169.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 13 | 126.0 | Gronkey Punch Time | Lrobbed |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOLTTeam Sports | 11-2 | +5 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 9-4 | +3 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 9-4 | +3 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 9-4 | +3 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 8-5 | +2 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 6-6-1 | 0 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 6-7 | 0 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 5-8 | -1 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 4-9 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Taylor's schedule you go 11-2. With Eric's you go 4-9.