Actual wins4of 13
Expected wins4.6all-play based
Luck-0.6wins vs expected
Schedules better53%would win more
Most likely record5-8.28 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 2 | 117.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 3 | 125.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 4 | 94.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 5 | 84.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 6 | 153.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 7 | 112.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 8 | 84.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 9 | 127.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 10 | 84.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 11 | 77.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 12 | 118.0 | Gronkey Punch Time | W |
| 13 | 114.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-5-1 | +3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-7 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-8 | +1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 5-8 | +1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 5-8 | +1 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 4-9 | 0 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 3-10 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 3-10 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 3-10 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jesse's schedule you go 7-6. With Jeff's you go 3-10.