Actual wins4of 13
Expected wins5.1all-play based
Luck-1.1wins vs expected
Schedules better66%would win more
Most likely record5-8.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 118.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 2 | 84.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 3 | 100.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 4 | 136.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 5 | 95.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 6 | 125.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 7 | 112.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 8 | 117.0 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 9 | 119.0 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 10 | 88.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 11 | 87.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 12 | 76.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 13 | 106.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Wlucky |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-6 | +3 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-6 | +3 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-7 | +2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-7 | +2 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 5-8 | +1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 5-8 | +1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 4-9 | 0 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 3-10 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 3-10 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Eric's schedule you go 7-6. With Jeff's you go 3-10.