Actual wins5of 13
Expected wins3.4all-play based
Luck+1.6wins vs expected
Schedules better6%would win more
Most likely record3-10.30 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 93.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 2 | 118.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 3 | 93.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 4 | 96.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 5 | 102.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 6 | 42.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 7 | 108.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | L |
| 8 | 117.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 9 | 117.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Wlucky |
| 10 | 87.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 11 | 36.5 | Lik-A Rock | L |
| 12 | 89.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Wlucky |
| 13 | 84.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-7 | +1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 4-9 | -1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 4-9 | -1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 4-9 | -1 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 3-10 | -2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 3-10 | -2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 3-10 | -2 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 2-11 | -3 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 2-11 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jesse's schedule you go 6-7. With Nick's you go 2-11.