Actual wins9of 13
Expected wins8.4all-play based
Luck+0.6wins vs expected
Schedules better16%would win more
Most likely record8-5.33 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 139.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 2 | 130.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | W |
| 3 | 127.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 4 | 90.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 5 | 128.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 6 | 110.0 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 7 | 67.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 8 | 136.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 9 | 164.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 10 | 134.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 11 | 104.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 12 | 70.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 13 | 169.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOLTTeam Sports | 10-3 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 9-4 | 0 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 9-4 | 0 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 9-4 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 9-4 | 0 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 9-4 | 0 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 8-5 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-6 | -2 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 6-7 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Taylor's schedule you go 10-3. With Nick's you go 6-7.