Actual wins10of 13
Expected wins8.3all-play based
Luck+1.7wins vs expected
Schedules better4%would win more
Most likely record8-5.28 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 161.0 | Gronkey Punch Time | W |
| 2 | 88.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 3 | 173.0 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 4 | 126.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 5 | 125.0 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 6 | 129.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 7 | 86.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Wlucky |
| 8 | 105.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 9 | 160.5 | Gronkey Punch Time | W |
| 10 | 124.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 11 | 168.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 12 | 91.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 13 | 124.0 | Team Sports | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOLTTeam Sports | 11-2 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 10-3 | 0 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 10-3 | 0 |
 GARYGronkey Punch Time | 8-5 | -2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 8-5 | -2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 8-5 | -2 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 7-6 | -3 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 7-6 | -3 |
| NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-7 | -4 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Taylor's schedule you go 11-2. With Eric's you go 6-7.