Actual wins10of 13
Expected wins8.2all-play based
Luck+1.8wins vs expected
Schedules better5%would win more
Most likely record8-5.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79.5 | Flaccid, Johnson | L |
| 2 | 96.5 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 3 | 150.5 | BISCUIT WHEELS | W |
| 4 | 128.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 5 | 135.0 | Nguyening Time | W |
| 6 | 115.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 7 | 135.0 | In2 DEEP | W |
| 8 | 175.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 9 | 151.5 | Flaccid, Johnson | Lrobbed |
| 10 | 127.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 11 | 98.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 12 | 131.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 13 | 164.0 | Nguyening Time | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 COCKIn2 DEEP | 10-3 | 0 |
 GARYNguyening Time | 10-3 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 9-4 | -1 |
| LANCBoner Bandits | 9-4 | -1 |
| BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 8-5 | -2 |
| WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 8-5 | -2 |
| NICABISCUIT WHEELS | 7-6 | -3 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 7-6 | -3 |
| PROCFlaccid, Johnson | 6-7 | -4 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jeff's you go 6-7.