Actual wins5of 13
Expected wins5.0all-play based
Luck0.0wins vs expected
Schedules better35%would win more
Most likely record5-8.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 90.5 | BISCUIT WHEELS | L |
| 2 | 97.0 | In2 DEEP | L |
| 3 | 93.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 4 | 123.0 | Flaccid, Johnson | W |
| 5 | 156.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 6 | 106.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 7 | 76.0 | Nguyening Time | L |
| 8 | 96.0 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 9 | 106.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 10 | 129.0 | BISCUIT WHEELS | W |
| 11 | 61.0 | In2 DEEP | L |
| 12 | 158.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 13 | 104.0 | Boner Bandits | Wlucky |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
| BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-7 | +1 |
| WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-7 | +1 |
| NICABISCUIT WHEELS | 6-7 | +1 |
 COCKIn2 DEEP | 6-7 | +1 |
| LANCBoner Bandits | 5-8 | 0 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 4-9 | -1 |
 GARYNguyening Time | 4-9 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 4-9 | -1 |
| PROCFlaccid, Johnson | 4-9 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jesse's schedule you go 6-7. With Jeff's you go 4-9.