Actual wins7of 13
Expected wins6.1all-play based
Luck+0.9wins vs expected
Schedules better19%would win more
Most likely record6-7.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 106.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 2 | 102.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 3 | 100.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 4 | 134.0 | In2 DEEP | Lrobbed |
| 5 | 96.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 6 | 130.0 | Nguyening Time | Lrobbed |
| 7 | 95.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 8 | 125.5 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 9 | 103.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Wlucky |
| 10 | 80.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 11 | 103.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 12 | 110.0 | Flaccid, Johnson | L |
| 13 | 136.0 | In2 DEEP | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
| WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 8-5 | +1 |
| BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-6 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-6 | 0 |
 COCKIn2 DEEP | 7-6 | 0 |
| LANCBoner Bandits | 7-6 | 0 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 6-7 | -1 |
| PROCFlaccid, Johnson | 5-8 | -2 |
 GARYNguyening Time | 4-9 | -3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 4-9 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 8-5. With Hunter's you go 4-9.