Actual wins6of 13
Expected wins7.1all-play based
Luck-1.1wins vs expected
Schedules better68%would win more
Most likely record7-6.30 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 142.5 | In2 DEEP | W |
| 2 | 94.5 | Nguyening Time | L |
| 3 | 106.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 4 | 118.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Wlucky |
| 5 | 148.5 | BISCUIT WHEELS | W |
| 6 | 142.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 7 | 167.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 8 | 129.0 | Flaccid, Johnson | L |
| 9 | 99.5 | BISCUIT WHEELS | L |
| 10 | 107.0 | In2 DEEP | L |
| 11 | 92.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 12 | 142.0 | Team Sports | Lrobbed |
| 13 | 93.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOLTTeam Sports | 9-4 | +3 |
 COCKIn2 DEEP | 9-4 | +3 |
| NICABISCUIT WHEELS | 8-5 | +2 |
| LANCBoner Bandits | 8-5 | +2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-6 | +1 |
| BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-7 | 0 |
 GARYNguyening Time | 6-7 | 0 |
| PROCFlaccid, Johnson | 6-7 | 0 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 5-8 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Taylor's schedule you go 9-4. With Nick's you go 5-8.