Actual wins4of 13
Expected wins5.1all-play based
Luck-1.1wins vs expected
Schedules better68%would win more
Most likely record5-8.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 129.5 | Nguyening Time | W |
| 2 | 126.0 | Flaccid, Johnson | W |
| 3 | 163.0 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 4 | 104.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 5 | 97.0 | In2 DEEP | L |
| 6 | 90.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 7 | 88.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 8 | 86.5 | BISCUIT WHEELS | L |
| 9 | 110.5 | Nguyening Time | W |
| 10 | 130.5 | Flaccid, Johnson | Lrobbed |
| 11 | 93.0 | The Hakuna Matata | L |
| 12 | 127.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 13 | 93.0 | Team Sports | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 GARYNguyening Time | 7-6 | +3 |
| NICABISCUIT WHEELS | 6-7 | +2 |
 COCKIn2 DEEP | 6-7 | +2 |
| BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-8 | +1 |
| WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-8 | +1 |
| PROCFlaccid, Johnson | 5-8 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 4-9 | 0 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 4-9 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 4-9 | 0 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Josh's schedule you go 7-6.