Actual wins7of 13
Expected wins5.1all-play based
Luck+1.9wins vs expected
Schedules better2%would win more
Most likely record5-8.34 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 144.5 | The Hakuna Matata | W |
| 2 | 88.0 | BISCUIT WHEELS | L |
| 3 | 62.5 | In2 DEEP | Wlucky |
| 4 | 82.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 5 | 80.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 6 | 92.5 | Boner Bandits | Wlucky |
| 7 | 140.0 | Flaccid, Johnson | W |
| 8 | 146.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 9 | 126.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 10 | 91.5 | Nguyening Time | L |
| 11 | 91.0 | BISCUIT WHEELS | L |
| 12 | 125.0 | In2 DEEP | W |
| 13 | 133.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 COCKIn2 DEEP | 8-5 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 6-7 | -1 |
| NICABISCUIT WHEELS | 5-8 | -2 |
| VALLThe Hakuna Matata | 5-8 | -2 |
 GARYNguyening Time | 5-8 | -2 |
| PROCFlaccid, Johnson | 5-8 | -2 |
| LANCBoner Bandits | 5-8 | -2 |
| WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 4-9 | -3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 3-10 | -4 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Adam's schedule you go 8-5. With Hunter's you go 3-10.