AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley4-2847.5 PFAP .685WLWLWRec4-2PF847.5PA793.0All-play.685WLWLWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 6 of 2021. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley4-2847.5 PFAP .685WLWLWRec4-2PF847.5PA793.0All-play.685WLWLWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
BMCBeast Mode CowboyJesse Landry3-3798.0 PFAP .630WLLLWRec3-3PF798.0PA749.0All-play.630WLLLWRating▼▼
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor2-4719.5 PFAP .556LWLWLRec2-4PF719.5PA842.0All-play.556LWLWLRating▼▼
BJBojack HorsecocksNoah Ansley1-5681.0 PFAP .222LLWLLRec1-5PF681.0PA759.5All-play.222LLWLLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.