AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley3-2694.0 PFAP .644WWLWLRec3-2PF694.0PA677.5All-play.644WWLWLRating▼▼Ranked 2 spots above the standings: the results lag the performance. Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 5 of 2021. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley3-2694.0 PFAP .644WWLWLRec3-2PF694.0PA677.5All-play.644WWLWLRating▼▼Ranked 2 spots above the standings: the results lag the performance. Elo rating is the strongest input.
LANCBoner BanditsLance Black2-3677.5 PFAP .444WLLWLRec2-3PF677.5PA577.5All-play.444WLLWLRating▼▼
BMCBeast Mode CowboyJesse Landry2-3649.0 PFAP .600WWLLLRec2-3PF649.0PA623.5All-play.600WWLLLRating▼▼
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor2-3602.5 PFAP .600LLWLWRec2-3PF602.5PA687.5All-play.600LLWLWRating▼▼
BJBojack HorsecocksNoah Ansley1-4565.5 PFAP .222LLLWLRec1-4PF565.5PA606.0All-play.222LLLWLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.