AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley3-1558.5 PFAP .694WWLWRec3-1PF558.5PA518.5All-play.694WWLWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 4 of 2021. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley3-1558.5 PFAP .694WWLWRec3-1PF558.5PA518.5All-play.694WWLWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
BMCBeast Mode CowboyJesse Landry2-2532.0 PFAP .722WWLLRec2-2PF532.0PA482.5All-play.722WWLLRating▼▼
BJBojack HorsecocksNoah Ansley1-3455.0 PFAP .278LLLWRec1-3PF455.0PA455.5All-play.278LLLWRating▼▼
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor1-3434.0 PFAP .500LLWLRec1-3PF434.0PA530.5All-play.500LLWLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.