AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley6-2973.0 PFAP .736WWWWWRec6-2PF973.0PA826.5All-play.736WWWWWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 8 of 2017. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley6-2973.0 PFAP .736WWWWWRec6-2PF973.0PA826.5All-play.736WWWWWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor6-2995.0 PFAP .750WWLWLRec6-2PF995.0PA860.5All-play.750WWLWLRating▼▼
ROCKLik-A RockGreg Rockenbaugh2-6708.0 PFAP .208LWWLLRec2-6PF708.0PA860.5All-play.208LWWLLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.