PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor5-1756.0 PFAP .833WWWWLRec5-1PF756.0PA605.5All-play.833WWWWLRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 6 of 2017. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor5-1756.0 PFAP .833WWWWLRec5-1PF756.0PA605.5All-play.833WWWWLRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley4-2742.0 PFAP .759LLWWWRec4-2PF742.0PA628.5All-play.759LLWWWRating▼▼
ROCKLik-A RockGreg Rockenbaugh2-4542.5 PFAP .241LLLWWRec2-4PF542.5PA646.0All-play.241LLLWWRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.