PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor5-0646.5 PFAP .889WWWWWRec5-0PF646.5PA493.0All-play.889WWWWWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 5 of 2017. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor5-0646.5 PFAP .889WWWWWRec5-0PF646.5PA493.0All-play.889WWWWWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley3-2624.5 PFAP .733WLLWWRec3-2PF624.5PA527.0All-play.733WLLWWRating▼▼
LANCBoner BanditsLance Black3-2530.0 PFAP .544LWWLWRec3-2PF530.0PA536.0All-play.544LWWLWRating▼▼
ROCKLik-A RockGreg Rockenbaugh1-4440.0 PFAP .200LLLLWRec1-4PF440.0PA566.0All-play.200LLLLWRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.