PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor4-0528.0 PFAP .917WWWWRec4-0PF528.0PA388.5All-play.917WWWWRating▼▼Recent form (last 3) is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 4 of 2017. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor4-0528.0 PFAP .917WWWWRec4-0PF528.0PA388.5All-play.917WWWWRating▼▼Recent form (last 3) is the strongest input.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley2-2485.0 PFAP .667WLLWRec2-2PF485.0PA425.5All-play.667WLLWRating▼▼
ROCKLik-A RockGreg Rockenbaugh0-4359.5 PFAP .194LLLLRec0-4PF359.5PA488.0All-play.194LLLLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.