PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor3-0408.0 PFAP .926WWWRec3-0PF408.0PA328.0All-play.926WWWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 3 of 2017. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor3-0408.0 PFAP .926WWWRec3-0PF408.0PA328.0All-play.926WWWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley1-2375.5 PFAP .630WLLRec1-2PF375.5PA342.5All-play.630WLLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.