AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley11-21638.5 PFAP .778WWWWWRec11-2PF1638.5PA1408.5All-play.778WWWWWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 13 of 2017. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley11-21638.5 PFAP .778WWWWWRec11-2PF1638.5PA1408.5All-play.778WWWWWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor9-41571.5 PFAP .679WLLWWRec9-4PF1571.5PA1329.5All-play.679WLLWWRating▼▼
LANCBoner BanditsLance Black8-51456.5 PFAP .628LWLWWRec8-5PF1456.5PA1406.5All-play.628LWLWWRating▼▼
ROCKLik-A RockGreg Rockenbaugh3-101125.0 PFAP .201LWLLLRec3-10PF1125.0PA1405.0All-play.201LWLLLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.