AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley9-21381.0 PFAP .758WWWWWRec9-2PF1381.0PA1156.0All-play.758WWWWWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 11 of 2017. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley9-21381.0 PFAP .758WWWWWRec9-2PF1381.0PA1156.0All-play.758WWWWWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor7-41316.5 PFAP .662WLWLLRec7-4PF1316.5PA1178.0All-play.662WLWLLRating▼▼
LANCBoner BanditsLance Black6-51209.0 PFAP .601WLLWLRec6-5PF1209.0PA1191.5All-play.601WLLWLRating▼▼
ROCKLik-A RockGreg Rockenbaugh3-8991.0 PFAP .237LLLWLRec3-8PF991.0PA1202.0All-play.237LLLWLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.