AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley2-2535.0 PFAP .694LWLWRec2-2PF535.0PA510.0All-play.694LWLWRating▼▼Ranked 3 spots above the standings: the results lag the performance. Recent form (last 3) is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 4 of 2016. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley2-2535.0 PFAP .694LWLWRec2-2PF535.0PA510.0All-play.694LWLWRating▼▼Ranked 3 spots above the standings: the results lag the performance. Recent form (last 3) is the strongest input.
PROCWater Hole AssasinJeffrey Proctor1-3428.0 PFAP .458LLWLRec1-3PF428.0PA492.0All-play.458LLWLRating▼▼
ROCKLik-A RockGreg Rockenbaugh1-3408.5 PFAP .306LLWLRec1-3PF408.5PA506.0All-play.306LLWLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.