AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley1-2416.0 PFAP .759WLLRec1-2PF416.0PA417.5All-play.759WLLRating▼▼Ranked 4 spots above the standings: the results lag the performance. Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 3 of 2015. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley1-2416.0 PFAP .759WLLRec1-2PF416.0PA417.5All-play.759WLLRating▼▼Ranked 4 spots above the standings: the results lag the performance. Elo rating is the strongest input.
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor1-2312.5 PFAP .259LWLRec1-2PF312.5PA393.5All-play.259LWLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.