LANCBoner BanditsLance Black10-31662.5 PFAP .641WWWLWRec10-3PF1662.5PA1419.0All-play.641WWWLWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 13 of 2015. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
LANCBoner BanditsLance Black10-31662.5 PFAP .641WWWLWRec10-3PF1662.5PA1419.0All-play.641WWWLWRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley6-71560.0 PFAP .577WWLWLRec6-7PF1560.0PA1441.5All-play.577WWLWLRating▼▼
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor6-71552.5 PFAP .573LLWWWRec6-7PF1552.5PA1540.5All-play.573LLWWWRating▼▼
ROCKLik-A RockGreg Rockenbaugh4-91367.5 PFAP .393LLWLWRec4-9PF1367.5PA1482.5All-play.393LLWLWRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.