LANCBoner BanditsLance Black9-31538.5 PFAP .648LWWWLRec9-3PF1538.5PA1335.0All-play.648LWWWLRating▼▼Season scoring is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 12 of 2015. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
LANCBoner BanditsLance Black9-31538.5 PFAP .648LWWWLRec9-3PF1538.5PA1335.0All-play.648LWWWLRating▼▼Season scoring is the strongest input.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley6-61434.0 PFAP .569WWWLWRec6-6PF1434.0PA1309.5All-play.569WWWLWRating▼▼
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor5-71394.5 PFAP .546LLLWWRec5-7PF1394.5PA1426.0All-play.546LLLWWRating▼▼
ROCKLik-A RockGreg Rockenbaugh3-91261.0 PFAP .407LLLWLRec3-9PF1261.0PA1408.5All-play.407LLLWLRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.