AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley1-0166.0 PFAP 1.000WRec1-0PF166.0PA109.0All-play1.000WRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
Rankings reconstructed with only the results available after week 1 of 2015. Nothing from later weeks leaks in.
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley1-0166.0 PFAP 1.000WRec1-0PF166.0PA109.0All-play1.000WRating▼▼Elo rating is the strongest input.
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor0-1109.0 PFAP .333LRec0-1PF109.0PA166.0All-play.333LRating▼▼MethodEach component is converted to a z-score across the ten teams, then blended: season scoring 30%, recent form (last three weeks) 25%, all-play record 20%, Elo 15%, next-week ESPN projection 10%. Scoring-based components are shrunk toward average early in the season (×week/(week+3)). When a component is unavailable (projections only exist for the upcoming week of the current season) the remaining weights are renormalized, never filled in. Rating = 50 + 12 × composite. Elo carries across seasons with one-third regression to the mean. Rankings for past weeks use only games played through that week.